Civil war is a U.S.
option in Iraq
By Hadi Maraai
Azzaman,
October 23, 2005
Events taking place in the Iraqi arena
and the surrounding region may contradict or agree with those of the American
occupier. But rest assured nothing is going on in Iraq’s favor.
Neighboring
states fear American military might and they try, as far as possible, to avoid
the calamitous fate that has befallen our land at the hands of U.S. marines.
But in the
meantime, not all of them will easily succumb to American pressure. The deeper
the U.S.
drags itself into the Iraqi quagmire, the better these countries’ chances of
averting an Iraqi-style American invasion.
And the U.S. itself now
senses and feels the pain of its reckless Iraqi adventure. The drastic failure
of its Iraq
polices has put the White House under immense pressure both at home and abroad.
What about the forces fighting the U.S. inside Iraq? These groups’ conditions are
deteriorating. This is not because of U.S. military operations. U.S. troops’
conditions are deplorable too.
U.S. troops have now come to realize
that they cannot defeat their Iraqi opponents through military means. Anti-U.S.
armed factions knew from the very beginning their tactics would not force the U.S. to flee.
Therefore, there is apparently some
form of tacit agreement between the major players in the Iraqi arena and regional
states with an interest in Iraq-related developments.
With anti-U.S. forces currently
under less U.S.
military pressure, they have begun to unleash their wrath against innocent
Iraqis.
There is a change in targeting.
With U.S. troops more and more concerned about their own safety and withdrawing
steadily into fortified fortresses, their opponents are now almost free to
roam, kill, car bomb, kidnap, assassinate and play their game of blood and fire
in what has become for them a football arena with no referee and opposing team.
Failing to spread its control and
restore order, the U.S.
is changing tact. But halt. It is not for the interest of the Iraqi people.
The U.S. now realizes the country is on
the brink of a civil war and it is utilizing the status quo for its own benefit
in the hope it will eventually lead it to a way out of its Iraqi quagmire.
Iraqi casualties and losses are
mounting, the country’s infrastructure, which the U.S. was supposed to modernize, is
creaking as a result. But these issues are no longer a matter of concern for
those who once called themselves “the liberators.”
The past few months have seen a
shift in U.S. Iraq strategy. It has abandoned the traditional military means it
pursued against armed groups opposing it.
The U.S. has become a principal player
in the “match of terror” going on in the country.
The U.S.
is now in fact feeding violence in Iraq
by using the country’s disparate sectarian, ethnic and religious factions in a
way that will eventually help it realize some of its aims of coming to Iraq.
The U.S. is now sowing seeds of strife
and civil war. It wants Iraqi factions to do the fighting instead of its
troops.
The U.S. is fueling sectarian tensions
in the hope that the groups, who previously directed their guns almost solely
against its marines, would now shoot Iraqis instead.
The U.S. now believes if it can set
Iraqi factions against each other, it will then withdraw – not from Iraq – but
to safe Iraqi havens and watch from there the disintegration of the country in
a civil strife that will leave no faction strong enough to put up a fight
against its troops.